Does anyone have the data for the market of machines that make chips too?

And that’s only the cotst of defence. I don’t think we know yet how much actual damage there was and if Iran managed to destroy just one air defence system this price tag could possibly double.

It would be very interesting to see Germany get couped, leading it to be more subservient to the US and leading to its, and Europe’s, faster breakdown.

LLMs would probably be best used in systems, like multiple LLMs and normal programs each with their strenghs covering the other’s weaknesses. And perhaps having programs, or even other LLMs that shut it off if anything goes wrong.

Something weird happened to a robot?

The brain or part of it (as there can be multiple LLMs toghether each trained to do one or a few things only) or a more powerful LLM overseeing many robots identifies that and stop it, waiting for a better LLM offsite or a human to say something.

I mean, if the thing happening is so weird that there is no data about it available then perhaps not even a human would be able to deal well with it, meaning that an LLM doesn’t need to be perfect to be very useful.

Even if the robots had problems and would bug out causing a lot of damage we could still take a lot of people away from work and let the robots to do it if the robots can work and make enough to replenish their own losses by themselves. And with time any problem should be fixable anyway, so we might as well try.

They are trying good uses too, like using LLMs in robotics and cars (for both movement and planning), but the chats are just more visible for now, with understanble reasons.

Does no one remember Laos?

Either way, the more the better!

Even if that port doesn’t matter the blockade is still taking the colonialist entity from being along the route between Asia and Europe to being at the tail end of a new and much longer route with smaller throughput.

Are there as many ships going there now that ships are in smaller supply and the nearby countries could all be served by Chinese/Russian or even their own ships going straight through the Suez? I don’t know the numbers exactly but I doubt it’s something they can just brush off.

I agree with you, but if Iran wasn’t thinking much about having nukes they probably should take this as a sign of things to come if they don’t get some. Unless they do act on this aggression, even if only diplomatically/economically.

China has had a few years to be prepared for such things and has an idea of what can happen based on Ukraine so they do have a few different approaches, like seting a red line and nuking the US immediately after it’s crossed or what I think is more likely, do nothing in regards to this intrusion other than station boats between the yankees and China while increasing decolonization efforts and sending weapons to Yemen and Russia, supporting a possible takeover of Ukraine while trying to push the more trobolesome elements of Ukraine to flee to the EU so they start causing trouble there.

Taking the opportunity of the colonialists probably not accepting the UNSC cease fire proposal to sanction them and key western industries related to them with the BRICS and Global South, increasing the cost of genocide to the whole west could also be a good move. And although I don’t expect China going against the west in a more direct way diplomatically this could be the time for them to get maximum return on whatever they do, specially if they are already going to be blamed for it one way or another.

Actually the biggest problem with (humanoid) robots is and always has been power. Batteries only last so long and take up space and add weight.

Kinda. If the robots are good enough that they can do all sorts of tasks with a humanoid robot it wouldn’t be hard to make them switch their own batteries, which isn’t very different of humans and their need to eat and such, or the can just plug themselves to be powered up when needed.

Indeed that might not be very convenient or the most efficient but it could be done by robots alone without human input. As the tech needed for these robots means that industrial robots, many of which can be plugged in all the time, could also produce much more and cheaper, leading to the possibility of simply having many batteries cheaply. Not the best solution but it is a solution.

It’s not the CPU.

It is the CPU to some extent, but recently software has been biggest part of it and one that is being improved a lot recently.

We’ve always been able to make robots that can perform certain tasks and with enough effort you can make robots that can perform many tasks.

The robots in industry so far were mostly just a complex machine doing a simple task. They couldn’t try to improve themselves or do anything beyond their programming. For example, a machine taking a part in an assembly line and putting it somewhere else can only really take something if it is where it expects it to be (to the mm) when it expects it to be there. With newer but no so new tech they might be able to recognize a QR like symbol on it and and reorient themselves but they can’t do anything other than what they have been programmed to do.

But the newer robots with newer AIs will soon be able to do anything a human can. For example, if you ask one to clean the house and the neighboorhood they don’t just goes around the floor vaccuing while perhaps missing some parts, they could see that becoming a doctor and buying more robots to clean everything is a solution and they will think about it. That’s the level of difference in task making here.

The biggest problem with robots for a long time has been the brain, but now with LLMs, and other things, being good enough to fully control robots, even if using multiple specialized AIs, the tendency is that more and more will be invested in this direction.

Yes the first generations of robots might be slow and have problems, but that will be used to train the newer AIs for both embodied tasks and also for fully in-computer based tasks, meaning that by the time they can finally be produced cheaply and in mass they will be ready for many jobs.

This may also soon lead to less humanoid designs, like robots with multiple arms and no legs, leading to both generalist and specialized robots that can work very fast to take all manual labor jobs with ease in decades or less. Hopefully the people in the capitalist countries can manage to organize to work for changing the system into one where the people can benefit from the full automation that is to come.

The new average of global robot density in the manufacturing industry surged to 141 robots per 10,000 employees – more than double the number six years ago.

The following is a very basic calculation with many assumptions, of course, but if it continues doubling in six years as stated that would be less than 40 years for full automation. And that’s before taking into account more focus on making robots as they get better or robots getting better to the point they can make more robots faster and cheaper by themselves.

lol

Hadn’t thought about this but now I’m wondering what else was projection.

I admit things would change if Russia could suppress entirely or nearly entirely France’s nuclear strike capability and say air-burst a nuclear weapon outside Paris to intentionally cause an EMP effect to bring down the power grid and electronics but not directly kill that many people.

The first part is what I was just thinking about as well. Avoiding a nuclear strike by using conventional strikes while striking nukes to really send the message, and if they can destroy enough of if it they can just say that MAD doesn’t work between them anymore and ask for terms for peace, like France getting out of NATO or something like that.

But about the EMP that could be a good idea, specially considering the damage that could cause to the EU’s economy if it destroys many factories and such. Althou I’m not sure how much damage it would do to nearby countries as I think the it needs to be blown up quite high up and has a big range but I might be mistaken.

Though I am unsure conventional weapons will do anything but make Macron angry, it may be the the fact we are that the point that only a nuclear illustration will sober the west and Macron may be so deranged he will only double down in the face of that and use French nuclear weapons.

Russia kind of has to use nukes here because if they don’t NATO is just going to increase troops to Ukraine little by litte and will obviously use Ukraine, at first, and their own forces later to attack inside Russia as well, but will Russia really do it? Or at least something close to it?

I remember them not doing much when the colonialists used one of Russia’s planes as a shield to attack Syria. They did get the colonialists to stop attacking the north of Syria after that I think but will they continue not doing much in this case too or will they finally show where the red line is?

I’d guess, if they can indeed project power there, it would mostly be the ships coming from the middle east itself. Unless they got long range drones or a submarine that we don’t know about.

It is a training to test systems, soldiers/sailors and tactics.

So, as an example, for something like this they could have all the ships working as a unit advancing towards a target while maintaining a certain formation to see if they can do it without problems. Perhaps even with a submarine acts as an enemy trying to get close or they can also have drones fly toward them to simulate air attacks so that the ships can blow them up to see if everything works as it should.

More than likely transporting enough nuclear materials to power a moon base would be exorbitantly expensive and dangerous.

From my calculations you would need at most a few hundred kilograms per year for such a reactor, perhaps even less than 100kg/year if they can use higher enrichment than normal.

At that weight they might be able to carry it in a manned craft to avoid it blowing up and being spread all over the place since manned crafts have a lot of safety features, including an ejection system to launch the people (and the uranium in this hypothetical case) safely away from an exploding rocket.

If you’re planning on building a reactor on the moon, it’s probably to probe the possibility of utilizing helium3 to create a fusion reactor.

A fission reactor and a fusion reactor are completely different things but you would need power to turn a fusion reactor and that could come from a fission one.

Which would help cut down on the need for liquid coolant.

As far as I know a lot, if not the vast majority, of the coolant you need is for sending the unusable heat away and that is basically the same between all turbine using power plants (from coal to nuclear), unless the fusion reactor doesn’t need it.

I mean they do have easy access to an endless vacuum they can radiate heat to.

Radiating it to the vaccum is a lot harder than transfering the heat through heat exchangers from the inside water to outside water so being in a vacuum without rivers to use for cooling is much harder to get rid of heat than on Earth. They would probalby need pipes going deep underground or running across the surface with hot water to be cooled by the ground, which would need to slowly radiate it to space requiring a lot of piping if you produce a lot of power, before the water inside the pipes cool enough to be usable to cool the reactor again.

The moon has very long days and night, so for the first power plant something that will work all the time instead of working for 2 weeks and having no power for another 2 is better. You can get a lot of power from solar panes on the moon but because of the longer nights batteries become even more of a problem.

Frankly in the face of the neocons I suspect there can be no peace, without such a show of force as a limited nuclear strike at minimum

This is an interesting possibility for avoiding WWIII, but what kind of target would be hit?

Breaking the frontlines wouldn’t really be possible I think especially with Russia’s own troops nearby, so perhaps an attack against a logistics base behind the frontline or even going for the NATO countries’ base far at the rear so NATO couldn’t say they got attacked in their own territories?

Another possibility could be a nuclear attack against the first country Russia engages with, but I’m not sure they would do that.

And if they fight these new soldiers, which will probably happen even if by mistake, will Russia also consider it an act of war from the new participant countries and will they attack their territory for it?