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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • Edit: Never mind, I see that the chart in question seems to be from a month ago, and that’s why it doesn’t match.

    Just to be clear, is your chart based on the poll’s seat projection, or % of vote? The numbers don’t seem to match the source’s vote federal popular vote projection:

    Canada338 federal popular vote projection on April 7, 2025 vs chart in image:

    • Liberal Party: 44% vs 47.5%
    • Conservative Party: 38% vs 35.6%
    • New Democratic Party: 8% vs 6.3%
    • Bloc Québécois: 6% vs 4.8%
    • Green Party: 2% vs 2.0%
    • Peoples Party: 2% vs 2.0%

    I compared it to the seat projection percentages, but that didn’t seem to match either. Not sure what’s going on here.